PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 97%
No 97%Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$55.2K
Liquidity
$54.5K
High liquidityOpen interest
$27.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Nov 13, 26, 9:56 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
FAA outage attributed to Iran?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government officially attributes the November 13, 2026, FAA outage to a foreign actor between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The FAA outage refers to the equipment and communications outage that led the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to issue a nationwide ground stop on departures from U.S. airports on November 13, 2026.
- A foreign actor is any foreign state, including its armed forces (e.g., Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC)) or intelligence services, or persons acting on their instructions, as well as any organization or group based outside the United States, including proxy or partner groups such as Hezbollah and criminal hacking groups.
- A qualifying attribution is a public statement by an authorized representative of the U.S. federal government acting in an official capacity stating that the outage was carried out, caused, ordered, or directed by a foreign actor.
- Criminal charges filed by U.S. federal prosecutors alleging that the outage was caused by or on behalf of a foreign actor will also qualify.