Senate Combo: Michigan and Ohio (Polymarket)
9.7 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms2d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDems sweep 71.7%+9.7ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+46.7 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 29, 26, 6:34 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Michigan and Ohio (including the special election in Ohio) that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
- A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
- For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Senate Combo: Michigan and Ohio · Dems sweep 74%