Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 57.8%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 12, 23, 2:17 PM UTCMay 1, 39, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
https://jusmundi.com/en/document/other/en-honduras-prospera-inc-v-republic-of-honduras-press-release-of-honduras-prospera-inc-on-filing-of-request-for-arbitration-tuesday-20th-december-2022
- Resolves YES if either of these happens:
- Prospera wins the suit above and is awarded a non-trivial amount ($400mm or above)
- Honduras backs off and allows them to continue developing their city
- EDIT: Clarification after question in the comments - Prospera has to actually get the money.
- If they win the case, but Honduras refuses to pay, this is not a Prospera win and will be resolved as NO.
