Current community forecast
Chris Hipkins 49.6%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+35.4 pts
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Oct 22, 26, 7:20 AM UTCNov 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
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PolymarketIsrael election: Who will be the next prime minister?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Manifold MarketsRules
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election? · Christopher Luxon 49%
- Also available on Polymarket — Next Prime Minister of New Zealand? · Christopher Luxon 56%
