National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionUS PoliticsGeopolitics2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.5%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleSep 10, 25, 5:20 AM UTCNov 10, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, between the start of in‑person early voting and the close of polls on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, any U.S. state or territory officially deploys National Guard personnel to be physically present at one or more polling places where voters cast ballots (including early‑vote centers) to assist or provide security (e.g., setup, crowd/traffic control, administrative help, visible security), whether in uniform or civilian clothes.
- Acceptable proof: an official announcement from a state National Guard/governor/secretary of state, a National Guard Bureau news post, or two independent reputable news reports citing officials.
- Examples of acceptable source hubs for verification: National Guard Bureau newsroom, state Guard newsrooms, and state election officials’ sites.
- (nationalguard.mil)
- Resolves NO if no such physical deployment at polling places is documented.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 64% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms? resolve?
- National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms? is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria