[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?
GeopoliticsOne-OffMiddle East4y
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJul 10, 24, 6:57 PM UTCJan 2, 31, 5:00 AM UTC
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If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/25730/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if the United States controls the entirety of Tehran city's pre-war administrative boundaries according to credible sources within 365 days of a congressional declaration of war or Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) by the United States going into effect.
- Territorial control will be determined based on reporting from credible war mappers.
- If there is no such declaration of war or AUMF before January 1, 2030, this question will be Annulled.
