Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.1%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJul 31, 26, 2:18 AM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:17 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, by January 31, 2027 it is officially confirmed by Senator Mitch McConnell’s office, his family, his medical team, or a consensus of reputable major news organizations (such as the Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, or CNN) that McConnell is medically brain-dead or on life support.
- This market will resolve to NO if:
- McConnell delivers a public, verbal address or appears in a live, unedited video proving conscious cognitive function, OR
- No official or credible confirmation of brain death or life support is made public by January 31, 2027, OR
- He is officially announced to have passed away without a preceding, publicly confirmed state of being brain-dead or kept on life support.
