In the first Russian Duma election where United Russia does not win a plurality of seats, which party will?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionRussia / Ukraine1mo
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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Communist Party (CPRF) 28.6%Leader of 9 outcomes
Communist Party (CPRF) 28.6%Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 23, 24, 1:00 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This question will resolve to the party that gains the plurality of the seat in the Russian State Duma the first time it is neither the United Russia (UR) party nor its direct successor. [Note: closing time may be extended]
- In the case two parties gain the same number of seats:
- If none of them are UR: resolves based on the number of votes
- If one of them is UR: resolves to the second party
