If Trump is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
US PoliticsOne-Off4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 85.6%
No 85.6%Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 31, 24, 3:47 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Trump is elected, this will resolve according to this market.
- Otherwise, it will resolve N/A.
