If this person is the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina senate election, will they win?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection4d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastDarline Graham Nordone 72.4%
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-10.1 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJul 12, 26, 12:46 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
72.4%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Lindsey Graham, the Republican incumbent, was the nominee, but died on July 11, 2026.
- As such, there will be a special primary held on August 11th to decide the nominee.
- Per South Carolina law, a special primary will be held on August 11 to replace Graham on the ballot.
- South Carolina governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim replacement to hold office until the seat is filled in this election.
- This market will resolve N/A for any candidate who isn't the Republican nominee at the time of the midterm election, YES if that candidate wins, and NO if they lose.
