If this person is the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina senate election, will they win?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDarline Graham Nordone 89.9%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJul 12, 26, 12:46 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Lindsey Graham, the Republican incumbent, was the nominee, but died on July 11, 2026.
- As such, there will be a special primary held on August 11th to decide the nominee.
- Per South Carolina law, a special primary will be held on August 11 to replace Graham on the ballot.
- South Carolina governor the named outcome will appoint an interim replacement to hold office until the seat is filled in this election.
- This market will resolve N/A for any candidate who isn't the Republican nominee at the time of the midterm election, YES if that candidate wins, and NO if they lose.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If this person is the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina senate election, will they win??
- Manifold Markets prices Darline Graham Nordone at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If this person is the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina senate election, will they win? resolve?
- If this person is the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina senate election, will they win? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is If this person is the Republican nominee for the 2026 South Carolina senate election, will they win? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Lindsey Graham, the Republican incumbent, was the nominee, but died on July 11, 2026.