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Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Republican 86%+0.5pt
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$380.9
Liquidity
$68.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
85.0% / 87.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
5
7d Change
-3.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 13, 25, 9:35 PMNov 3, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Republican is 86%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Republican 86% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Smarkets — South Carolina Senate Election Winner · Republican 87%
Open markets
Politics
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
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- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
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+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for South Carolina Senate Election Winner?
- Polymarket prices Republican at 86% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does South Carolina Senate Election Winner resolve?
- South Carolina Senate Election Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is South Carolina Senate Election Winner settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- Where else is South Carolina Senate Election Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Smarkets.