Current community forecast
Lucy Powell 34%
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleSep 23, 25, 1:07 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
34%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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SmarketsRules
Resolves N/A for all people who didn't become deputy leader of the Labour party following the 2025 Labour Party deputy leadership election, and for the remaining option at whether the PM after the next election is a member of the Labour Party.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the PM after the next general election be Labour??
- Manifold Markets prices Lucy Powell at 34% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the PM after the next general election be Labour? resolve?
- If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the PM after the next general election be Labour? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the PM after the next general election be Labour? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves N/A for all people who didn't become deputy leader of the Labour party following the 2025 Labour Party deputy leadership election, and for the remaining option at whether the PM after the next election is a member of the Labour Party.