Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 12:02 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Lucy Powell 38%
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleSep 23, 25, 1:07 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
38%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the Prime Minister on January 1st 2030 be Labour?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Lucy Powell cease to be Deputy Leader of the Labour Party?
Manifold MarketsWill the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
Manifold MarketsWill the next person elected US vice president assume the presidency?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PolymarketRules
Resolves N/A for all people who didn't become deputy leader of the Labour party following the 2025 Labour Party deputy leadership election, and for the remaining option at whether the PM after the next election is a member of the Labour Party.
