Current community forecast
No 91.1%
Forecasters
35
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 1, 23, 2:28 AM UTCDec 2, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the next person elected US vice president assume the presidency?
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PolymarketWill someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a male be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman be elected US president in 2028?
PredictItRules
Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
- To resolve the market positive, the new President's 70th birthday should be prior to the day of their election.
- Excludes anyone who has ever been (edit 26 aug 2024: elected) president before.
- Applies regardless of their election date.
- Resolves NA if no one new is elected US President by 2029.
