If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?
US PoliticsOne-Off1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 52.9%
Forecasters
42
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleDec 5, 24, 6:26 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
[image]Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The amount of alcohol consumed can be more than one drop.
- Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Orange juice and other beverages with trace amounts of alcohol (around 0.5% ABV) will not count as alcohol consumption for this market's resolution.