If Democrats win a trifecta in 2028, will they expand the Supreme Court by 2032
PoliticsOne-OffTechUS PoliticsElection5y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 82%
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9
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
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Updated 35 minutes ago
Jan 18, 26, 9:01 PM UTCDec 31, 31, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
This market relates to a prediction made by Colin Wright on X, challenged by Matthew Yglesias, regarding Democratic governance strategies.
- This market resolves to YES if:
- The Democratic Party wins a "trifecta" in the 2028 U.S. General Elections (winning the Presidency and holding majorities in both the House of Representatives and the Senate at the start of the 121st Congress in 2029).
- AND, before January 20, 2033, legislation is enacted that increases the statutory number of seats on the Supreme Court of the United States above nine.
- Resolution Details:
- *NO:** If Democrats win a trifecta in 2028 but the statutory size of the Supreme Court remains at nine (or fewer) seats through the end of that presidential term.
