Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Death by natural causes 45.5%Leader of 6 outcomes
Death by natural causes 45.5%Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJul 10, 24, 2:46 AM UTCJan 2, 00, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Self-explanatory.
- Will resolve when there is a media consensus that he has lost power.
- If he dies of unknown causes, the market will be resolved to the most accepted theory after 1 month.
