Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2-3 28.9%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleFeb 5, 26, 1:32 AM UTCFeb 5, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
He has to explicitly name the state between the day after election day and market close, saying something like "the New England elections were rigged" does not count.
- He does not have to use rigged, synonyms count.
- However, it has to be said orally.
Open markets
Politics
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.8%
- Gavin Newsom14.7%
+45 more outcomes
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
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- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many states will Trump claim the midterms were rigged in??
- Manifold Markets prices 2-3 at 29% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does How many states will Trump claim the midterms were rigged in? resolve?
- How many states will Trump claim the midterms were rigged in? is scheduled to resolve on February 5, 2027.
- How is How many states will Trump claim the midterms were rigged in? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: He has to explicitly name the state between the day after election day and market close, saying something like "the New England elections were rigged" does not count.