How many of Trump’s nominees to head government agencies will be publicly accused of sex crimes by Inauguration Day?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 3 (27.3%)
Resolved: Jan 20, 2025, 4:53 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
3
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current community forecast
2 39.2%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 65 days ago
StaleDec 2, 24, 2:30 AMJun 16, 26, 9:05 PM
Probability Timeline
04.3%
16%
239.2%
327.3%
410.9%
5 or more12.2%
39.2%
27.3%
12.2%
10.9%
6%
4.3%
Rules
Resolves on news reports from at least one of:
- • Associated Press
- • New York Times
- • Washington Examiner
- • Wall Street Journal
