How many of Trump’s nominees to head government agencies will be publicly accused of sex crimes by Inauguration Day?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 3 (27.3%)
Resolved: Jan 20, 2025, 4:53 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
3
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Probability Timeline
04.3%
16%
239.2%
327.3%
410.9%
5 or more12.2%
2Lost
3Won
5 or moreLost
4Lost
1Lost
0Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves on news reports from at least one of:
- • Associated Press
- • New York Times
- • Washington Examiner
- • Wall Street Journal