First Round of Alaska Senate winner?
2.2 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms2d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastMary Peltola 97.8%+2.2ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+14.8 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 31, 26, 8:51 PM UTCNov 8, 26, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES to the first place finisher in the first round of the Alaska Senate election.
- Alaska uses ranked choice voting, and this resolves based on the first place finisher in round ONE, not the ultimate winner.