First House Minority Leader of the next Congress?
10.8 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJim Jordan 35%-10.8ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Oct 20, 26, 3:00 AM UTCJan 3, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
KalshiNext US Senate Minority Leader?
PolymarketWill Mike Johnson be the Majority or Minority Leader in the House after the Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Hakeem Jeffries be the Majority or Minority Leader in the House after the Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWho will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES to the first person elected House Minority Leader in the next Congress (120th) after the 2026 Midterm Elections.
- Party leaders of the United States House of Representatives - Wikipedia