During President Trumps present term.Do you think he may have a medical episode, making him incapable to finish his term
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsHealth & Medicine2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 61.3%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleFeb 21, 25, 7:58 AM UTCJan 7, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
A "life-altering medical episode" must be a clear,
- Update 2025-02-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Early Resolution:
- The market will now resolve earlier if Trump is determined to be incapacitated as a result of any medical condition.
- This means that if Trump shows signs of incapacity, even before a full-term evaluation, the outcome may be determined at that time.
- All other criteria in the original resolution remain applicable unless the condition of early incapacity is met.
