Current community forecast
No 52%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMay 9, 23, 5:22 PM UTCJan 1, 52, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketIn which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves NA if this market resolves Yes
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-china-still-be-controlled-by-t) Otherwise it resolves the same as this market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-chinas-gdpppp-per-capita-catch)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? resolve?
- Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2052.
- How is Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves NA if this market resolves Yes
