Will China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035??

Manifold Markets prices No at 67.3% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035? resolve?

Will China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2035.

How is Will China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Based on the World Bank data:

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No97.5%
• Yes-1.0pt2.5%

Total Vol

$3.9M

24h Vol

$18.2K

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

POLYMARKET

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

• 1.0-2.0%+28.5pt66.3%
• 0-1.0%-19.3pt31.7%
• 6.0-7.0%-1.0pt1%

+6 more outcomes

KALSHI

Jobs numbers in October 2026?

• Above -25,00095%
• Above 0-1.0pt86.5%
• Above 10,000+6.0pt82%

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No+0.5pt93.1%
• Yes-0.5pt6.9%

Total Vol

$2.4M

24h Vol

$9.4K

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%-1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%98.5%
• Above 0.1%-4.0pt88%

• Unemployment in October
• Recession in 2027?
• CPI YoY in December
• Core CPI in October
• CPI in November
• US GDP growth in Q4 2026?
• CPI in December
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• Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
• Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
• How many jobs added in October?
• US job openings in September