Which countries will have a lower annual GDP per capita than Guyana in any year before 2050
EconomyOne-OffMacro & Economy9y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastBrunei 93%Leader of 25 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleApr 16, 24, 8:25 PM UTCJan 1, 36, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Guyana is going through something of an economic transformation; GDP per capita is rising double digit percentages year on year.
- Country must be listed here: https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)_per_capita&oldid=1219262525 above Guyana.
- I'm skipping the territories, non-sovereign states, and non-IMF members.
- I also left the top 15 off the list to save on market creation costs, as I don't expect them to pass Belgium.
- I will resolve based on same-year World Bank US$ current year estimates whenever they're published (note that the World Bank estimates are only currently published through 2022 for most countries; you can view them here: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD ) .
- Resolves true if for any one World Bank estimate year, Guyana has a higher GDP per capita than that country.
