Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAnalytical Chemistry 33.8%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 2, 26, 3:15 PM UTCSep 29, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket
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KalshiRules
These independent markets resolve Yes if any of the 2026 Chemistry Nobels are awarded for work in X, in whole or in large parts.
- Multiple markets can, and probably will, resolve Yes.
- You can request fields I might have forgotten, but I'm not doing too niche things I would have difficulty resolving.
- In case of ambiguity, will discuss in the comments and might resolve N/A. There is some element of subjectivity in the judgement of course, therefore l will not participate to stay impartial.
- I am versed in the field of Chemistry, and will use this knowledge to resolve fairly to the best of my ability.
- I will provide my reasoning on resolution.
Open markets
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+5.3pt55%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $263.3K
- 24h Vol
- $145.6K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+1.0pt21%
- Before 202813%
- Before 20275%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.3M
- 24h Vol
- $31.5K
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030+17.0pt44%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $126.7K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+7.0pt46.1%
- Above 1+20.0pt38.5%
- Above 2-10.0pt7.7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
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- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Chemistry Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket?
- Manifold Markets prices Analytical Chemistry at 34% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Chemistry Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket resolve?
- Chemistry Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket is scheduled to resolve on September 29, 2026.
- How is Chemistry Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: These independent markets resolve Yes if any of the 2026 Chemistry Nobels are awarded for work in X, in whole or in large parts.