By what date will Nintendo release a major Switch 2 hardware revision?
PoliticsOne-OffTechBusiness & Corporate2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastbefore 2029-07-01 / 1st July 2029 87.8%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleDec 10, 25, 12:53 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Nintendo has often released revised versions of their consoles during the console's life.
- The GBA SP followed the GBA, the DS Lite followed the DS, and the Switch Lite followed the Switch.
- This market will resolve YES if a hardware revision of the Switch 2 is released before the date named in the option, otherwise it will resolve NO.
- To clarify what "major hardware revision" means, here are the broad criteria I will be using to smell-test any new product release:
- Does it play Switch 2 games? If so, points to YES
- Does Nintendo undertake a traditional marketing campaign for this product specifically? If so, points to YES
