Will Nintendo release a game where Waluigi is the main antagonist before 2027?
One-OffEntertainment3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 92.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleOct 14, 24, 5:12 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This happened once before.
- The Super Mario Bros DDR game.
- I think if there's a game where Waluigi and some generic cosmic space demon are the two main antagonists this resolves YES, but if Waluigi and Wario are jointly the main antagonists this resolves NO.
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Nintendo release a game where Waluigi is the main antagonist before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Nintendo release a game where Waluigi is the main antagonist before 2027? resolve?
- Will Nintendo release a game where Waluigi is the main antagonist before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.
- How is Will Nintendo release a game where Waluigi is the main antagonist before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This happened once before.