Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.2%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 23, 1:39 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Nintendo release an open world Legend of Zelda-related game made specifically for VR by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy what date will Nintendo release a major Switch 2 hardware revision?
Manifold MarketsWill Nintendo release a game where Waluigi is the main antagonist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nintendo release an OLED version of the Switch 2 within 2 years of release?
Manifold MarketsTop Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
KalshiGodzilla Minus Zero · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRules
Must be compatible with current console generation, i.e. switch classic/lite/OLED.
- Resolves on release, not announce etc. I expect HD but I'm really not picky cmon plx Nintendo!
- I may bet in this market and really want it to resolve YES, but hopefully the criteria are sufficiently objective for that.
- Resolves NO when we're sufficiently far into the next generation for me to have given up hope/it's been released there instead.
