Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 48%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
35
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleNov 4, 24, 11:07 AM UTCJan 6, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Franky build Pluton during the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)
Manifold MarketsWill Nintendo release a game where Waluigi is the main antagonist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Hajrudin awaken Conqueror’s Haki during the Elbaph Arc?
Manifold MarketsOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiDancing with the Stars · Episode 8 Elimination
KalshiTop Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 26, 2026
KalshiRules
This is based on my own subjective opinion.
- There is only one antagonist per arc.
- Below are the criteria I use in order of importance
- 1: Did they fight Luffy 1 on 1.
- 2: How much authority does the character have among those present in their faction.
- 3: How antagonistic is their relationship to Luffy.
