Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 48%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
35
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleNov 4, 24, 11:07 AM UTCJan 6, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Franky build Pluton during the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)
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KalshiRules
This is based on my own subjective opinion.
- There is only one antagonist per arc.
- Below are the criteria I use in order of importance
- 1: Did they fight Luffy 1 on 1.
- 2: How much authority does the character have among those present in their faction.
- 3: How antagonistic is their relationship to Luffy.
Open markets
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the main antagonist in the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)??
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 48% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be the main antagonist in the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)? resolve?
- Who will be the main antagonist in the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)? is scheduled to resolve on January 6, 2028.
- How is Who will be the main antagonist in the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This is based on my own subjective opinion.