By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI??

Manifold Markets prices No at 70% as of October 27, 2026.

When does By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI? resolve?

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2028.

How is By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Related to ACX five year predictions.

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No97.5%
• Yes-2.0pt2.5%

Total Vol

$3.8M

24h Vol

$40.7K

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in November

• Above 2.0%98.5%
• Above 2.2%98.5%
• Above 2.3%98.5%

KALSHI

Unemployment in November

• Above 3.7%+2.0pt96%
• Above 3.8%-8.0pt92.5%
• Above 3.9%+1.0pt87.5%

KALSHI

Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?

• No64%
• Yes+3.0pt36%

Total Vol

$35.6K

24h Vol

$9.7K

KALSHI

CPI in November

• Above -0.1%+5.0pt92.5%
• Above 0.0%+1.0pt85.5%
• Above 0.1%70.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%96%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

• Recession in 2027?
• October Unemployment Rate
• CPI in October
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
• CPI in December
• CPI YoY in November
• Core CPI in November
• Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
• Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
• US recession by end of 2026?