KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 49%
No 49%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Mar 11, 26, 7:00 PM UTCMar 4, 27, 1:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsUS nonfarm payrolls: October
FutuurBy 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Manifold MarketsWill US productivity growth be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill 2020s US productivity average over 1.8%, per Erik Brynjolfsson and Robert J Gordon's Long Bet?
Manifold MarketsRecession this year?
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Only the first non-preliminary release for each quarter will be considered. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.