US nonfarm payrolls: October

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for US nonfarm payrolls: October?

Futuur prices Above 0 at 82% as of October 27, 2026.

When does US nonfarm payrolls: October resolve?

US nonfarm payrolls: October is scheduled to resolve on November 6, 2026.

How is US nonfarm payrolls: October settled?

Futuur settles this market as follows: Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if the change in total US nonfarm payroll employment for October 2026, as reported by the BLS in the Employment Situation report scheduled for November 6, 2026, is strictly above the listed number of jobs.

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No97.5%
• Yes-4.0pt2.5%

Total Vol

$3.8M

24h Vol

$41.8K

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in November

• Above 2.0%98.5%
• Above 2.2%98.5%
• Above 2.3%98.5%

KALSHI

Unemployment in November

• Above 3.7%+2.0pt96%
• Above 3.8%-8.0pt92%
• Above 3.9%-5.0pt82.5%

KALSHI

CPI in November

• Above -0.1%+5.0pt92.5%
• Above 0.0%83%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt68.5%

KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in October

• Above 2.7%+1.0pt42.5%
• Above 2.6%54.5%
• Above 2.8%-17.0pt31%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%-1.0pt99%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.1%+2.0pt91%

• CPI YoY in December
• October Unemployment Rate
• Recession in 2027?
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
• CPI in December
• US recession by end of 2026?
• CPI YoY in November
• Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
• Core CPI in November
• Brazil unemployment rate in September
• Unemployment in October