When does Brazil 2026 Election: First Round Surprises resolve?

Brazil 2026 Election: First Round Surprises is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026.

How is Brazil 2026 Election: First Round Surprises settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution: official first-round results published by Brazil's TSE.

Brazil 2026 Election: First Round Surprises

26.4 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElection Latin America5d

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

A presidential candidate other than Lula or Flávio Bolsonaro receive 8%+ of valid votes 23.6%-26.4pt

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

-26.4 pts

Market data

Updated 13 minutes ago

Sep 29, 26, 3:27 AM UTCOct 4, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Polymarket

Brazil 2026 Election: Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Manifold Markets

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in São Paulo (SP)?

Manifold Markets

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Minas Gerais (MG)?

Manifold Markets

Brazil 2026 Election: Who will finish third in Brazil's presidential election?

Manifold Markets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

Polymarket

Rules

Resolution: official first-round results published by Brazil's TSE.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Brazil 2026 Election: First Round Surprises?: Manifold Markets prices A presidential candidate other than Lula or Flávio Bolsonaro receive 8%+ of valid votes at 23.6% as of September 29, 2026.
When does Brazil 2026 Election: First Round Surprises resolve?: Brazil 2026 Election: First Round Surprises is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026.
How is Brazil 2026 Election: First Round Surprises settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution: official first-round results published by Brazil's TSE.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/brazil-2026-election-first-round-su

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp

Data API docs Connect an agent

Brazil 2026 Election: First Round Surprises

Brazil 2026 Election: First Round Surprises

Open markets

Next French Presidential Election

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Trump renames AI by which date?

Brazil Presidential Election

Which party will win the U.S. House?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

Next French Presidential Election

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Trump renames AI by which date?

Brazil Presidential Election

Which party will win the U.S. House?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?