Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastTina Kotek (D) (Incumbent) 88.7%
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+38.7 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleSep 6, 26, 9:18 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election Winner
PolymarketWisconsin Governor Election Winner
PolymarketWhich party wins the 2026 Iowa Governor Election?
Manifold Markets2026 Kansas Governor election winner?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election?
Manifold MarketsRules
2026 Oregon gubernatorial election - Wikipedia
- [link preview]
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Oregon Governor Election Winner · Tina Kotek (D) 86%
- Also available on Kalshi — Oregon Governor winner? · Tina Kotek 88%
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 2026 Oregon Governor election winner??
- Manifold Markets prices Tina Kotek (D) (Incumbent) at 89% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does 2026 Oregon Governor election winner? resolve?
- 2026 Oregon Governor election winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is 2026 Oregon Governor election winner? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election - Wikipedia
- Where else is 2026 Oregon Governor election winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Kalshi.