Current community forecast
No 62.8%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 18, 26, 2:22 PM UTCNov 14, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if, on any single nationwide protest day against the cost of living (vie chere) held between Oct 17, 2026 and Nov 14, 2026 (Paris time), the French Ministry of the Interior reports more than 1,000,000 participants nationwide.
- The Oct 17, 2026 day counts (the Ministry's current figure is 550,000, so it would only count if officially revised above 1,000,000).
- Organizers' or unions' figures do not count; if the Ministry publishes no figure, police figures reported by AFP are used.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- The market closes before the result is public.
