Current community forecast
He comes to the US and meets the US president in the white house and a picture is released 100%Leader of 70 outcomes
He comes to the US and meets the US president in the white house and a picture is released 100%Forecasters
169
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 18, 23, 5:45 PM UTCDec 17, 27, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
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Manifold MarketsIf Javier Milei abolishes the Central Bank of Argentina, will it cause a recession or financial crisis?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Javier Milei is bringing a new style of leadership to Argentina.
- This is a collection of a ton of simple binary markets about what may happen during his first term of four years!
- Have fun betting even 1m on each, then tune in to your notifications system to get updated as we see how things go over the next few years! Best of luck to Argentina no matter where that resides.
- Things he did during the entire term, including before creation of this market, all count, based on the beginning of his term; for example, if he has already left Argentina during his presidency, then the claim about him leaving would YES.
- In general the claims end in Dec 2027 at the normal time of the succession of whoever wins the next election.
- Most claims relating to a "term" relate to the original planned term of 4 years; if that is changed, we still cover that time period as best we can preserving the intent, which is always to make the claim as "meaningful" as possible. i.e. to avoid resolving on technicalities only a lawyer would care about, but rather, as long as it doesn't go against the written text, to go by what is meant by the term. i.e. if we say "he dies from the bite of a poisonous snake" we would not be pedantic and say "actually, only venomous snakes can kill him; poisonous is a term for something which if you contact/eat it, you can die".
