KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Ed Markey · —
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Stored price
Ed Markey 98.3%
Ed Markey 98.3%Market quality
81 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.8K
Open interest
$77.6K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Ed MarkeySpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Dec 3, 24, 3:00 PM UTCJan 4, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Ed Markey
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Massachusetts Senate margin of victory
KalshiMassachusetts Senate General Election: voter turnout
KalshiMassachusetts Senate election: Ed Markey vote percent
KalshiMassachusetts Senate election: John Deaton vote percent
KalshiMassachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketMassachusetts Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketRules
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Massachusetts for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Ed Markey
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Massachusetts for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- John Deaton
- If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Massachusetts for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Ed Markey (D) is 98%. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Ed Markey (D) 98% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Which Party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Massachusetts? · Democrats 98%
- Also available on ForecastEx — Will the Democratic party win the Massachusetts general election for US Senate in 2026? · Yes 91%
- Also available on Polymarket — Massachusetts Senate Election Winner · Ed Markey (D) 98%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Massachusetts Senate Race · Democrat 96%
- Also available on PredictIt — Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Massachusetts? ·