NY-12 House election: Karen Ortiz vote percent
6.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 1% 21%-6.0ptMarket line of 7 lines
At least 1% 21%-6.0ptMarket quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$754
Open interest
$5.8K
Medium open interestSpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karen Ortiz in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:State Board of Elections, Albany, NY
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Karen Ortiz ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Karen Ortiz across all certified ballot lines are combined.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 1%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karen Ortiz in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karen Ortiz in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karen Ortiz in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 6% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karen Ortiz in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karen Ortiz in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karen Ortiz in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 7%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Karen Ortiz in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 7% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
