KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 44% 84%Leader of 8 outcomes
At least 44% 84%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$1.5K
Low open interestSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 11, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Lawler in the 2026 NY-17 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:State Board of Elections, Albany, NY
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Mike Lawler ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- Votes for Mike Lawler across all certified ballot lines are combined.
