KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 8.3% (99%)
Resolved: Oct 31, 2026, 9:35 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
8.3%Won
8.6%Lost
8.5%Lost
8.7%Lost
Below 8.2%Lost
8.2%Lost
8.4%Lost
8.8%Lost
Above 8.8%Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.3% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:VoteHub
Rules for each outcome
- 8.3%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.3% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.6%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.5%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.5% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.7%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.7% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 8.2%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is below 8.2% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.2%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.2% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.4%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8.8%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8.8%
- If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.