KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Oct 2, 2026 73%-2.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$14.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 12:11 AM UTCSep 18, 26, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump release more Epstein files in Sep 2026?
KalshiTrump declassifies new UFO files by which date?
PolymarketTrump declassifies new UFO files by which date?
LimitlessJapan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
If the federal government has released, after Issuance and the named outcome, previously unreleased documents, audio files, or video files regarding Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (“UAP”), then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Trump release more UFO files??
- Kalshi prices Before Oct 2, 2026 at 73% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will Trump release more UFO files? resolve?
- When will Trump release more UFO files? is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026.
- How is When will Trump release more UFO files? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the federal government has released, after Issuance and the named outcome, previously unreleased documents, audio files, or video files regarding Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (“UAP”), then the market resolves to Yes.