KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
At least 1 · —
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Stored price
At least 2 47.5%Market line of 7 lines
At least 2 47.5%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.3K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
At least 1Spread
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Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 15, 26, 4:56 PM UTCFeb 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · At least 1
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which of the Manifold rated Lean D senate races will Democrats win?
Manifold MarketsHow many of these Manifold Rated Lean D House races will Democrats win?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
If the number of statewide races won by Democratic Party nominees in Texas is at least 2 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Texas Secretary of State
- The 18 races counted are: U.S. Senator; Governor; Lieutenant Governor; Attorney General; Comptroller of Public Accounts; Commissioner, General Land Office; Commissioner, Agriculture; Railroad Commissioner; Chief Justice, Supreme Court; Justice, Supreme Court, Place 2 (unexpired term); Justice, Supreme Court, Place 7; Justice, Supreme Court, Place 8; Judge, Court of Criminal Appeals, Place 3; Judge, Court of Criminal Appeals, Place 4; Judge, Court of Criminal Appeals, Place 9; Chief Justice, Fifteenth Court of Appeals; Justice, Fifteenth Court of Appeals, Place 2; and Justice, Fifteenth Court of Appeals, Place 3.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 1
- If the number of statewide races won by Democratic Party nominees in Texas is at least 1 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If the number of statewide races won by Democratic Party nominees in Texas is at least 2 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of statewide races won by Democratic Party nominees in Texas is at least 3 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4
- If the number of statewide races won by Democratic Party nominees in Texas is at least 4 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8
- If the number of statewide races won by Democratic Party nominees in Texas is at least 8 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 12
- If the number of statewide races won by Democratic Party nominees in Texas is at least 12 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 16
- If the number of statewide races won by Democratic Party nominees in Texas is at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.