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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?
Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?

Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?

5.0% (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 3%-5.0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$134.5

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 7.0%

Spread

75.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 10 minutes ago

Jun 3, 26, 4:30 PMJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before Jan 1, 20273%

Manifold MarketsAlso available on Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

Will Trump and Iran’s Supreme Leader meet in 2026?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
7.4%
Manifold Markets
No
92.6%
Community forecast32 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$5.5K
24h Vol$100
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Rules

If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.