KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Aug 1, 2026 2%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.5
Liquidity
$29.8K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jun 3, 26, 4:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PolymarketLeader of Iran at end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran??
- Kalshi prices Before Aug 1, 2026 at 2% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran? resolve?
- Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.