KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Data quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 6:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027 3%
Before Jan 1, 2027 3%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$30.2K
High open interestBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jun 3, 26, 4:30 PM UTCSep 1, 26, 1:10 PM UTC
Trends
Before Jan 1, 20273%
Before Sep 1, 2026Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiLeader of Iran at end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The Washington PostThe White HouseAssociated PressBBCABC NewsNew York TimesCNBCPOLITICONBCFinancial TimesBloombergCNNThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsReutersMSNBCCBS NewsABC News AustraliaDeutsche WelleAl Jazeera English
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Donald Trump and the Supreme Leader of Iran meet in person after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.