KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 21, 2029 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 21, 2029 15.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 21, 2029 15.5%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$10.2
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 21, 2029Spread
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Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 21, 2029
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PolymarketWhich countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
LimitlessWill trump make another absurd promise?
Manifold MarketsWill President Trump make a major Gaffe During the Mid terms
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump make an endorsement or comment on the NZ election before polls close?
Manifold MarketsRules
If President Donald Trump makes a recess appointment after Issuance and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBC
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A recess appointment means an appointment to a position that would otherwise require Senate confirmation, made using the power given to the President in the recess appointments clause (Article II, Section 2, Clause 3) of the Constitution. One appointee is enough. If an appointment is later ruled illegal by the Supreme Court of the United States, or another federal court, this market's resolution will not change. An acting official designated under the Federal Vacancies Reform Act does NOT count.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 21, 2029
- If President Donald Trump makes a recess appointment after Issuance and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If President Donald Trump makes a recess appointment after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If President Donald Trump makes a recess appointment after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.