KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Oct 18 (80%)
Resolved: Oct 19, 2026, 8:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Oct 18
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
60%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 6:25 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Oct 177%
Not this weekend (Oct 16-18)20%
Oct 1880%
Oct 18Won
Not this weekend (Oct 16-18)Lost
Oct 16Lost
Oct 17Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Donald Trump golfs on Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- “Golfing” means Donald Trump playing golf on a golf course, including any portion of a round. Merely being at a golf course or club, riding in a golf cart, attending a golf event, practicing, or taking a ceremonial shot does not count. The primary source is Trump Golf Track (trumpgolftrack.com). Any date it lists as “confirmed golf” will count. If Trump Golf Track is incomplete, Kalshi may also rely on White House pool reports and editorial photo agencies, including Getty Images, Reuters Connect, and AP Photos.
Rules for each outcome
- Oct 18
- If Donald Trump golfs on Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not this weekend (Oct 16-18)
- If Donald Trump does not golf from Oct 16, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oct 16
- If Donald Trump golfs on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Oct 17
- If Donald Trump golfs on Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.