KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 34% 76%Leader of 7 outcomes
Above 34% 76%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$10
Low liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 6, 26, 4:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ken Paxton get 40% or more of the Asian vote in the 2026 senate election, according to the CNN exit poll?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?
KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the share of voters who approve of Donald Trump's job performance as president in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 34%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The value is the sum of the percentages of all voters shown for "Strongly approve" and "Somewhat approve" on the question asking voters' opinion of Donald Trump as president in the national U.S. House exit poll.
- If those two figures are not shown separately, the value is the percentage of all voters shown for "Approve" on that question.
- The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time.
- If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.