KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Dec 1, 2026 88%
Before Dec 1, 2026 88%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.5K
Liquidity
$7.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
90.0% / 91.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 25, 26, 6:45 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027?
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KalshiRules
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of China after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The White HouseMinistry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of Chinathe Associated PressReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalBBC
- The following do NOT constitute a visit:
- Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or scheduling of future visits that do not occur during the applicable time period
- For the avoidance of doubt, a visit occurs only when the person exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel, or train within the area, or otherwise physically enters the area not aboard one.
- Remaining aboard, including during flyovers, drive-throughs, and non-exit refueling stops, does not constitute a visit.
- Exiting within the area constitutes a visit regardless of duration or method of exit.