Before Nov 3, 2026
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
No 93.5%
No 93.5%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$22.5
Open interest
$154.3
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 23, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by which date?
PolymarketWill Ken Paxton win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 3 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 2 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton get 40% or more of the Asian vote in the 2026 senate election, according to the CNN exit poll?
Manifold MarketsWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 5 percentage points?
ForecastExRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Fox NewsMSNBCC-SPANABCCBSNBCThe New York TimesCNNThe Wall Street JournalReutersThe InformationAxiosSemaforPoliticoThe Washington PostBloomberg Newsthe Associated PressYouTube
- A debate counts only if both candidates are present at the same time, in person or via live connection; the event is announced as a debate or similar confrontational discussion format; the candidates respond to each other's positions through direct dialogue or moderated questions; and the event is intended for public viewing. Joint press conferences, sequential interviews or town halls where the candidates appear separately, panel discussions with more than two primary participants, and events where either candidate fails to appear or appears only by pre-recorded video do not count.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.