Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 5 percentage points?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms1mo
ForecastExCheck availabilityKYC requiredLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityNo 85%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$10
Low open interestMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 2 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 1 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 7 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 4 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 3 percentage points?
ForecastExWill Ken Paxton Accept the Results of the Texas Senate Election if He Loses
Manifold MarketsRules
Ken Paxton Margin of Victory in Texas Senate General Election November 3 2026.
- Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Senate General Election by more than 5 percentage points? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
