KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
No 98.5%
No 98.5%Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$568.4
Open interest
$30.8K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 11, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill James Talarico win Starr County by 7.000% or more in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
KalshiWill John Cornyn endorse James Talarico?
KalshiWill Ken Paxton and James Talarico debate?
Manifold MarketsWill James Talarico win Tarrant County by 7.000% or more in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCCBSThe New York TimesThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersthe Associated PressPolitico
- "Dropped out" means any of the following: James Talarico announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign James Talarico files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities James Talarico publicly states they are no longer seeking the office James Talarico endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running James Talarico is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter "Suspending" a campaign is treated as dropping out unless James Talarico explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party's primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
